Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Reliant Stadium
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Cincinnati Bengals
42.8%
Houston Texans
57.2%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
3.0
Total
46.5
Cincinnati Bengals moneyline
+124
Houston Texans moneyline
-148
Season stats
Cincinnati Bengals
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
24.8
-
Passing yds / game
255.5
220.9
Rushing yds / game
110.2
125.2
Passing TD / game
2.12
1.25
Rushing TD / game
0.75
0.75
Houston Texans
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
25.9
-
Passing yds / game
229.6
207.5
Rushing yds / game
110.0
93.4
Passing TD / game
1.25
1.62
Rushing TD / game
0.62
0.5
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Bengals vs Texans on Phins Up.