Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 16:05 ET · Empower Field at Mile High (outdoors)
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Jacksonville Jaguars
42.8%
Denver Broncos
57.2%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
2.5
Total
45.5
Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline
+124
Denver Broncos moneyline
-148
Season stats
Jacksonville Jaguars
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
32.2
-
Passing yds / game
260.2
216.6
Rushing yds / game
104.4
83.4
Passing TD / game
2.62
0.62
Rushing TD / game
1.0
1.12
Denver Broncos
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
23.0
-
Passing yds / game
240.2
204.1
Rushing yds / game
102.8
112.2
Passing TD / game
1.38
1.5
Rushing TD / game
0.88
0.5
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Jaguars vs Broncos on Phins Up.