Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Carolina Panthers
57.2%
Atlanta Falcons
42.8%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
-2.5
Total
43.5
Carolina Panthers moneyline
-148
Atlanta Falcons moneyline
+124
Season stats
Carolina Panthers
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
20.6
-
Passing yds / game
220.1
216.2
Rushing yds / game
91.1
136.6
Passing TD / game
1.62
1.25
Rushing TD / game
0.62
1.38
Atlanta Falcons
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
23.1
-
Passing yds / game
211.8
265.0
Rushing yds / game
133.0
103.5
Passing TD / game
1.25
1.62
Rushing TD / game
1.0
0.5
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Panthers vs Falcons on Phins Up.