Seahawks vs Cardinals — NFL Week 2 Model Projection
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 16:25 ET · State Farm Stadium
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Seattle Seahawks
64.5%
Arizona Cardinals
35.5%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
-3.5
Total
41.5
Seattle Seahawks moneyline
-205
Arizona Cardinals moneyline
+170
Season stats
Seattle Seahawks
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
29.2
-
Passing yds / game
225.9
216.6
Rushing yds / game
135.5
99.9
Passing TD / game
1.38
1.12
Rushing TD / game
1.12
0.25
Arizona Cardinals
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
19.1
-
Passing yds / game
284.2
247.0
Rushing yds / game
70.2
141.4
Passing TD / game
1.88
2.62
Rushing TD / game
0.25
1.25
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Seahawks vs Cardinals on Phins Up.