Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Soldier Field (outdoors)
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Minnesota Vikings
34.2%
Chicago Bears
65.8%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
4.5
Total
48.5
Minnesota Vikings moneyline
+180
Chicago Bears moneyline
-218
Season stats
Minnesota Vikings
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
17.9
-
Passing yds / game
153.2
141.6
Rushing yds / game
115.2
122.5
Passing TD / game
0.75
0.12
Rushing TD / game
1.0
0.75
Chicago Bears
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
25.0
-
Passing yds / game
249.0
256.8
Rushing yds / game
142.4
122.2
Passing TD / game
1.88
1.75
Rushing TD / game
0.88
0.75
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Vikings vs Bears on Phins Up.