Phins Up / NFL 2026 / Week 2

Packers vs Jets — NFL Week 2 Model Projection

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 13:00 ET · MetLife Stadium (outdoors)

What the market says

TeamFair win %
Green Bay Packers62.3%
New York Jets37.8%

Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.

The posted line

Spread (home)-3.5
Total44.5
Green Bay Packers moneyline-185
New York Jets moneyline+154

Season stats

Green Bay PackersOffenseDefense allows
Points / game22.2-
Passing yds / game217.6223.5
Rushing yds / game125.1140.8
Passing TD / game1.751.62
Rushing TD / game0.751.0
New York JetsOffenseDefense allows
Points / game13.1-
Passing yds / game157.2252.0
Rushing yds / game102.5140.9
Passing TD / game0.622.38
Rushing TD / game0.621.5
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Packers vs Jets on Phins Up.