Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 16:25 ET · Levi's Stadium (outdoors)
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
Miami Dolphins
12.8%
San Francisco 49ers
87.2%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
13.5
Total
45.5
Miami Dolphins moneyline
+650
San Francisco 49ers moneyline
-1000
Season stats
Miami Dolphins
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
20.9
-
Passing yds / game
181.2
253.0
Rushing yds / game
146.1
117.6
Passing TD / game
1.0
1.75
Rushing TD / game
1.25
1.0
San Francisco 49ers
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
25.6
-
Passing yds / game
227.0
198.1
Rushing yds / game
119.6
125.8
Passing TD / game
2.0
1.25
Rushing TD / game
0.88
1.12
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Dolphins vs 49ers on Phins Up.