Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Ford Field (dome)
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
New York Jets
27.8%
Detroit Lions
72.2%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
6.5
Total
48.5
New York Jets moneyline
+245
Detroit Lions moneyline
-305
Season stats
New York Jets
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
14.2
-
Passing yds / game
169.6
234.4
Rushing yds / game
104.0
141.2
Passing TD / game
0.5
2.38
Rushing TD / game
0.75
1.25
Detroit Lions
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
27.5
-
Passing yds / game
285.0
289.5
Rushing yds / game
113.1
130.1
Passing TD / game
1.88
2.0
Rushing TD / game
1.25
1.12
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Jets vs Lions on Phins Up.