Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 13:00 ET · EverBank Stadium (outdoors)
What the market says
Team
Fair win %
New England Patriots
40.7%
Jacksonville Jaguars
59.3%
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
The posted line
Spread (home)
3.0
Total
45.5
New England Patriots moneyline
+136
Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline
-162
Season stats
New England Patriots
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
23.1
-
Passing yds / game
235.8
170.5
Rushing yds / game
132.1
106.2
Passing TD / game
1.88
0.62
Rushing TD / game
0.88
0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
Offense
Defense allows
Points / game
33.1
-
Passing yds / game
258.9
202.9
Rushing yds / game
103.4
87.4
Passing TD / game
2.75
0.62
Rushing TD / game
1.0
1.0
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Patriots vs Jaguars on Phins Up.