Phins Up / NFL 2026 / Week 3

Titans vs Giants — NFL Week 3 Model Projection

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 13:00 ET · MetLife Stadium (outdoors)

What the market says

TeamFair win %
Tennessee Titans38.4%
New York Giants61.6%

Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.

The posted line

Spread (home)3.5
Total40.5
Tennessee Titans moneyline+150
New York Giants moneyline-180

Season stats

Tennessee TitansOffenseDefense allows
Points / game18.9-
Passing yds / game178.4259.6
Rushing yds / game108.594.1
Passing TD / game1.251.88
Rushing TD / game0.751.0
New York GiantsOffenseDefense allows
Points / game24.0-
Passing yds / game210.6202.8
Rushing yds / game141.2127.2
Passing TD / game1.381.38
Rushing TD / game1.251.0
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Titans vs Giants on Phins Up.