Phins Up / NFL 2026 / Week 3

Panthers vs Browns — NFL Week 3 Model Projection

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Huntington Bank Field (outdoors)

What the market says

TeamFair win %
Carolina Panthers58.3%
Cleveland Browns41.7%

Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.

The posted line

Spread (home)-2.5
Total42.5
Carolina Panthers moneyline-155
Cleveland Browns moneyline+130

Season stats

Carolina PanthersOffenseDefense allows
Points / game21.5-
Passing yds / game209.2222.0
Rushing yds / game98.4157.4
Passing TD / game1.621.5
Rushing TD / game0.881.75
Cleveland BrownsOffenseDefense allows
Points / game15.9-
Passing yds / game194.8198.9
Rushing yds / game94.5130.0
Passing TD / game1.01.62
Rushing TD / game0.51.12
Player props for this game — projected passing, rushing and receiving yards, and Anytime TD graded against real DraftKings prices — are on the live site. The model's picks need a free account; the full prop tables are part of a subscription. Open Panthers vs Browns on Phins Up.