Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Bank of America Stadium (outdoors)
| Team | Fair win % |
|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 60.0% |
| Carolina Panthers | 40.0% |
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
| Spread (home) | -3.0 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Chicago Bears moneyline | -166 |
| Carolina Panthers moneyline | +140 |
Final: CHI 59 — 37 CAR
The model picked CHI — correct. The market picked CHI — correct.
These are the numbers that were on screen before kickoff. They are not rewritten after the fact.
| Chicago Bears | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 249.0 | 256.8 |
| Rushing yds / game | 142.4 | 122.2 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Carolina Panthers | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.6 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 220.1 | 216.2 |
| Rushing yds / game | 91.1 | 136.6 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.62 | 1.38 |