Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 16:25 ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
| Team | Fair win % |
|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 21.3% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 78.7% |
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
| Spread (home) | 8.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Arizona Cardinals moneyline | +350 |
| Los Angeles Chargers moneyline | -455 |
Final: ARI 26 — 14 LAC
The model picked LAC — wrong. The market picked LAC — wrong.
These are the numbers that were on screen before kickoff. They are not rewritten after the fact.
| Arizona Cardinals | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 19.1 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 284.2 | 247.0 |
| Rushing yds / game | 70.2 | 141.4 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.88 | 2.62 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.25 | 1.25 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 16.4 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 182.2 | 209.6 |
| Rushing yds / game | 115.4 | 109.6 |
| Passing TD / game | 0.88 | 1.0 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.62 | 0.75 |