Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 13:00 ET · Ford Field (dome)
| Team | Fair win % |
|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 26.6% |
| Detroit Lions | 73.4% |
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
| Spread (home) | 7.0 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| New Orleans Saints moneyline | +260 |
| Detroit Lions moneyline | -325 |
Final: NO 30 — 31 DET
The model picked DET — correct. The market picked DET — correct.
These are the numbers that were on screen before kickoff. They are not rewritten after the fact.
| New Orleans Saints | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.0 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 264.8 | 173.0 |
| Rushing yds / game | 99.6 | 110.6 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Detroit Lions | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 24.8 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 291.1 | 255.1 |
| Rushing yds / game | 101.8 | 137.2 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Rushing TD / game | 1.0 | 1.12 |