Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 16:25 ET · U.S. Bank Stadium (dome)
| Team | Fair win % |
|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 46.8% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 53.2% |
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
| Spread (home) | 1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Green Bay Packers moneyline | +105 |
| Minnesota Vikings moneyline | -125 |
Final: GB 22 — 39 MIN
The model picked MIN — correct. The market picked GB — wrong.
These are the numbers that were on screen before kickoff. They are not rewritten after the fact.
| Green Bay Packers | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 22.2 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 217.6 | 223.5 |
| Rushing yds / game | 125.1 | 140.8 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Rushing TD / game | 0.75 | 1.0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.9 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 153.2 | 141.6 |
| Rushing yds / game | 115.2 | 122.5 |
| Passing TD / game | 0.75 | 0.12 |
| Rushing TD / game | 1.0 | 0.75 |