Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 16:25 ET · Lincoln Financial Field (outdoors)
| Team | Fair win % |
|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 31.9% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 68.1% |
Fair win % is what this game's real posted opening moneyline implies once the sportsbook's own margin is removed. It is the market's number, not ours. Our model's own win probability for this game is part of a subscription. The three primetime games each week, Thursday, Sunday and Monday night, are free to everyone: see this week's.
| Spread (home) | 6.0 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Washington Commanders moneyline | +200 |
| Philadelphia Eagles moneyline | -245 |
Final: WAS 22 — 24 PHI
The model picked PHI — correct. The market picked PHI — correct.
These are the numbers that were on screen before kickoff. They are not rewritten after the fact.
| Washington Commanders | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 19.4 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 188.2 | 244.2 |
| Rushing yds / game | 128.9 | 161.0 |
| Passing TD / game | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Rushing TD / game | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | Offense | Defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.5 | - |
| Passing yds / game | 208.9 | 191.6 |
| Rushing yds / game | 122.0 | 131.1 |
| Passing TD / game | 1.38 | 1.0 |
| Rushing TD / game | 1.0 | 1.12 |